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energy-markets

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Predicted Spanish day-ahead energy demand and price with 97.5% accuracy using a range of ML and statistical time series forecasting models including XGBoost, Transformers, TFTs and SARIMA.

  • Updated Apr 6, 2025
  • Jupyter Notebook

Energex is a comprehensive energy derivatives analytics platform that provides data collection, analysis tools, and interactive visualizations for futures trading. Built with Python, it combines efficient data storage using DuckDB with sophisticated analysis capabilities to help traders and analysts make informed decisions.

  • Updated Dec 25, 2025
  • Python

Regime-conditional volatility forecasting framework using HAR-RV as a baseline and XGBoost on either residual vol or directly on log(RV), implemented for Germany and France electricity markets. Metric: Spearman ranking. Model validation and market-neutral cross-country trading strategy.

  • Updated Apr 5, 2026
  • Jupyter Notebook

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