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9a65f22
Add process DAG (workflow step 02)
sbfnk Feb 17, 2026
a1190eb
Address CodeRabbit review comments on process DAG
sbfnk Feb 18, 2026
0453f00
Address additional CodeRabbit review comments
sbfnk Feb 19, 2026
3d81b4c
Address CodeRabbit review: add σ_test to fixed params, restrict sums …
sbfnk Feb 19, 2026
40e2188
Add language specifier to fenced code blocks (MD040)
sbfnk Feb 19, 2026
b387552
Address CodeRabbit review: clarify movement spec, species caveat, sof…
sbfnk Feb 20, 2026
fff9504
Address review: δ_prev limitation, ε wording, species proviso
sbfnk Feb 20, 2026
cb78856
Add explicit kernel decision (exponential) for simplified model
sbfnk Feb 22, 2026
2072be9
Address review: baseline p_eff case, reactive culling limitation
sbfnk Feb 23, 2026
f6d040d
Add culling delay params to pseudocode and t₀/δ joint identifiability…
sbfnk-bot Feb 23, 2026
f4b63d0
Address review: static A state, p_mov source, β_duck prior, DAG movem…
sbfnk-bot Feb 23, 2026
0fdd271
Add inline w(τ) definition and preventive culling to pseudocode
sbfnk-bot Feb 23, 2026
8718fe7
Cauchy kernel default, hard latent period, β_duck bidirectional (0,2]
sbfnk-bot Feb 23, 2026
9c05cfd
Add δ prior and preventive/reactive culling precedence rule
sbfnk-bot Feb 23, 2026
c036ee1
Unify preventive culling timing: δ_prev replaces T_capacity consistently
sbfnk-bot Feb 23, 2026
1c872db
Add missing fixed params to DAG and priors for ε, β, α, t₀
sbfnk-bot Feb 23, 2026
3bd2b33
Remove A compartment, replace spillover onset+decay with spline profile
sbfnk-bot Feb 24, 2026
703d5ee
Remove unnecessary justification from spillover profile description
sbfnk-bot Feb 24, 2026
b0a8734
Fix hallucinated citations, add missing bib entries, add newlines bef…
sbfnk-bot Feb 25, 2026
e2165b2
Replace spline spillover profile with piecewise constant (2 pieces)
sbfnk-bot Feb 25, 2026
2adbde7
Fix DAG column alignment: group all estimated params under PARAMETERS
sbfnk-bot Feb 25, 2026
102e013
Specify concrete priors for φ_hrz, φ_non, t_change, ρ
sbfnk-bot Feb 25, 2026
c42d992
Add YAML header with bibliography for Quarto rendering
sbfnk-bot Feb 25, 2026
0b6510d
Reparameterise non-HRZ spillover as reduction factor η
sbfnk-bot Feb 25, 2026
016136a
Add δ_reactive and δ_prev to identifiability table
sbfnk-bot Feb 25, 2026
7ba2624
Clarify effective latent period and add t_change–ρ ridge documentation
sbfnk-bot Feb 25, 2026
e46bb06
Fix η domain notation and use asymmetric Beta(2,5) prior for ρ
sbfnk-bot Feb 25, 2026
79debf9
Rename ρ to ℓ in wetland alternative to avoid symbol collision
sbfnk-bot Feb 25, 2026
209ce15
Fix ρ domain to open interval and update stale Beta(2,2) reference
sbfnk-bot Feb 25, 2026
cf6b276
Constrain δ non-negative, fix zone summary, add t=0 reference date
sbfnk-bot Feb 25, 2026
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41 changes: 41 additions & 0 deletions hpai-challenge/notes/references.bib
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -119,3 +119,44 @@ @article{Savill2006
doi = {10.1038/442757a}
}

@article{Boender2023,
author = {Boender, Gert Jan and Hagenaars, Thomas J.},
title = {Common features in spatial livestock disease transmission parameters},
journal = {Scientific Reports},
year = {2023},
volume = {13},
pages = {3550},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-023-30230-w}
}

@article{Seymour2021,
author = {Seymour, Rowland G. and Kypraios, Theodore and O'Neill, Philip D. and Hagenaars, Thomas J.},
title = {A {Bayesian} Nonparametric Analysis of the 2003 Outbreak of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza in the {Netherlands}},
journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C (Applied Statistics)},
year = {2021},
volume = {70},
number = {5},
pages = {1323--1343},
doi = {10.1111/rssc.12515}
}

@article{Smith2015,
author = {Smith, Jacqueline and Smith, Nikki and Yu, Le and Paton, Ian R. and Gutowska, Maria Weronika and Forrest, Heather L. and Danner, Angela F. and Seiler, J. Patrick and Digard, Paul and Webster, Robert G. and Burt, David W.},
title = {A comparative analysis of host responses to avian influenza infection in ducks and chickens highlights a role for the interferon-induced transmembrane proteins in viral resistance},
journal = {BMC Genomics},
year = {2015},
volume = {16},
pages = {574},
doi = {10.1186/s12864-015-1778-8}
}

@article{PantinJackwood2013,
author = {Pantin-Jackwood, Mary J. and Swayne, David E. and Smith, Diane and Shepherd, Eric},
title = {Effect of species, breed and route of virus inoculation on the pathogenicity of {H5N1} highly pathogenic influenza ({HPAI}) viruses in domestic ducks},
journal = {Veterinary Research},
year = {2013},
volume = {44},
pages = {62},
doi = {10.1186/1297-9716-44-62}
}

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