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9.1. NO2 Calibration with OLS Regression

Hyesop edited this page Nov 5, 2019 · 1 revision

Another way of calibration is to use a regression analysis. In vein with the previous section, this section implemented four separate regressions between the modelled results and observations: GAM-observation, UK-observation, GAM Final-observation, UK Final-observation. The regression model was applied to groups at a 10-day time step and employed a Density-based clustering approach to capture different R2 by clusters. Unlike the common clustering methods, such as K-means clustering, this method increases the accuracy especially when the scatterplots looks like a hockey stick. The downside, however, that it will only consider points allocated as a cluster, which in other words the outliers are excluded. --> R2 might be lower than measurement

Summer

  • Regression results for 6 models in Summer.
Models Aug: Top Aug: Mid Aug: Bot Sep: Top Sep: Mid Sep: Bot
GAM-UK 0.979 0.978 0.965 0.981 0.97 0.982
GAM final-UK final 0.995 0.993 0.992 0.992 0.971 0.987
GAM final-UK final2 0.806 0.927
GAM-Obs 0.56 0.58 0.484 0.673 0.713 0.81
UK-Obs 0.568 0.635 0.541 0.681 0.739 0.85
GAM final-Obs 0.679 0.703 0.613 0.676 0.498 0.861
GAM final-Obs2 0.619 0.63 0.249 0.471 0.787
UK final-Obs 0.648 0.753 0.648 0.689 0.812 0.745
UK final-Obs2 0.641 0.657 0.381 0.503 0.707

August

val_aug1_back val_aug2_back val_aug3_back

September

val_sep1_back val_sep2_back val_sep3_back

Winter

  • Regression results for 6 models in Winter
Models Dec: Top Dec: Mid Dec: Bot Jan: Top Jan: Mid Jan: Bot Feb: Top Feb: Mid Feb: Bot
GAM-UK 0.978 0.985 0.986 0.996 0.991 0.995 0.994 0.967 0.985
GAM final-UK final 0.993 0.991 0.977 0.924 0.99 0.997 0.975 0.978 0.842
GAM-Obs 0.58 0.875 0.804 0.847 0.801 0.818 0.835 0.746 0.757
UK-Obs 0.635 0.889 0.824 0.844 0.783 0.81 0.813 0.689 0.754
GAM final-Obs 0.703 0.89 0.618 0.621 0.643 0.762 0.733 0.793 0.732
GAM final-Obs2 0.63 0.908 0.499 0.788
UK final-Obs 0.753 0.903 0.648 0.727 0.609 0.74 0.725 0.821 0.74
UK final-Obs2 0.657 0.913 0.483 0.568

December

val_dec1_back val_dec2_back val_dec3_back

January

val_jan1_back val_jan2_back val_jan3_back

February

val_feb1_back val_feb2_back val_feb3_back

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