diff --git a/.github/workflows/ci.yml b/.github/workflows/ci.yml index 3d685ea..6ccd138 100644 --- a/.github/workflows/ci.yml +++ b/.github/workflows/ci.yml @@ -15,6 +15,10 @@ jobs: timeout-minutes: 20 steps: - uses: actions/checkout@v7.0.1 + with: + # Historical evidence authentication checks recorded commits against + # HEAD, so the test job needs the complete ancestry graph. + fetch-depth: 0 - uses: actions/setup-python@v7.0.0 with: python-version: "3.11" diff --git a/.gitignore b/.gitignore index 41c6035..0ef6f73 100644 --- a/.gitignore +++ b/.gitignore @@ -3,6 +3,7 @@ __pycache__/ *.py[cod] *.egg-info/ .pytest_cache/ +.pytest-tmp-*/ .ruff_cache/ .coverage htmlcov/ diff --git a/README.md b/README.md index 5bb72fd..cc06886 100644 --- a/README.md +++ b/README.md @@ -11,9 +11,10 @@
- Quickstart · + Quickstart · Storage · - Evidence · + v0.2 evidence · + Stage B · Compatibility · Reproduce
@@ -23,9 +24,16 @@ recurrent matrix states used by Qwen3.5 Gated DeltaNet layers. Pass its cache to ordinary eager Transformers model calls to keep those states as grouped INT4 or INT8 payloads between calls. -Its frozen v0.2 layout passed a 500-task held-out MBPP teacher-forced fidelity -protocol: task-macro excess NLL was 72.75% lower than uniform INT4 while the -persistent recurrent state occupied exactly 2,564,096 resident bytes. +Its frozen v0.2 layout passed a 500-task held-out MBPP teacher-forced +recurrent-state fidelity protocol. Relative to uniform INT4, task-macro excess +NLL above the matched FP32-state reference was 72.75% lower while the packed +persistent recurrent state—including payloads, FP16 scales, and precision +masks—occupied exactly 2,564,096 resident bytes. + +The experimental v0.3 RHT-CQER-32 method has now also passed its separate +32-task development gate: aligned excess NLL was 52.73% lower than CQER-32 at +the same packed-state and selector byte counts. That newer result is +development evidence, not held-out confirmation. It currently targets [`Qwen/Qwen3.5-0.8B-Base`](https://huggingface.co/Qwen/Qwen3.5-0.8B-Base). @@ -36,11 +44,13 @@ I built and maintain RecurQuant as an open research project. — [Muhammad Labeeb Aryan](https://github.com/Labeeb2339). Licensed under [Apache-2.0](LICENSE). -## 60-second setup +## Quickstart -The commands are short; the first run still needs to download the pinned model -and tokenizer. Python 3.11 and a CUDA GPU are recommended for the evaluated -path. +This installs the public v0.2 alpha from its frozen tag. The first model-backed +run downloads the pinned model and tokenizer. Python 3.11 and a CUDA GPU match +the evaluated path; `recurquant demo` uses synthetic states and does not +download a model. RHT-CQER-32 remains an experimental research path rather +than the default package policy. Windows PowerShell: @@ -199,6 +209,37 @@ Important boundaries: It does not support generated-code quality, speed, peak memory, whole-model memory, cross-model generality, or a breakthrough claim. +## Experiment 009 Stage-B development + +RHT-CQER-32 applies a deterministic right-side randomized Hadamard transform +inside each existing recurrent-state row group before the same physical Q4/Q8 +packing used by CQER-32. The transform does not change the frozen 1,976-row +precision allocation or storage contract: both methods use 2,564,096 packed +state bytes and 2,711,552 resident bytes including the query-energy selector. + +On the preregistered 32-task ranked MBPP `[32, 64)` development window, +RHT-CQER-32 passed all eight frozen advancement checks. Task-macro aligned +excess NLL fell from `0.323944` to `0.153129`, a **52.73% reduction**. +Aggregate local recurrent-state reconstruction SSE fell from `36,409.363073` +to `15,345.844948`, a **57.85% reduction**. + + + +RHT-CQER-32 had lower excess NLL on 27 of 32 tasks, with no ties. The paired +CQER-minus-RHT improvement was `0.170815` nats/token and its frozen +10,000-sample paired 95% bootstrap interval was `[0.116082, 0.229438]`. + + + +This is positive development evidence on one pinned model and task window, not +held-out confirmation for RHT-CQER-32. Randomized Hadamard quantization is +prior art, and the current Python implementation has no fused-kernel, latency, +peak-memory, cross-model, or independent external-reproduction result. See the +[full Stage-B result](research/EXPERIMENT_009_STAGE_B_RESULT.md), +[verification receipt](research/EXPERIMENT_009_STAGE_B_VERIFICATION_RECEIPT.md), +and +[machine-readable release manifest](evidence/experiment009-rht-cqer-stage-b-result-manifest.json). + ## Scope The supported public surface is deliberately narrow: @@ -226,9 +267,12 @@ the held-out confirmation and beat all three tested same-byte random placements. That is a confirmed case study, not proof of novelty or general superiority. Q-Mamba already studies 4-bit persistent Mamba2 states, Quamba2 quantizes cached SSM states, and other mixed-precision and replay systems overlap parts of this -design space. RecurQuant currently has no fused packed kernel or measured speed -claim. I therefore do not present this release as a breakthrough, a whole-model -memory reduction, or a cross-model result. See the +design space. Experiment 009 adds a positive 32-task development result for a +known right-RHT codec composed with CQER-32, but it is not a new confirmation +result or evidence that Hadamard quantization is new. RecurQuant currently has +no fused packed kernel or measured speed claim. I therefore do not present this +release as a breakthrough, a whole-model memory reduction, or a cross-model +result. See the [claim boundary](research/CLAIM_BOUNDARY.md) and [prior-art review](research/PRIOR_ART.md) for the exact comparison. @@ -243,6 +287,13 @@ memory reduction, or a cross-model result. See the - [Frozen public evaluation protocol](research/PUBLIC_EVAL_PROTOCOL_V02.md) - [MBPP development report](research/DEVELOPMENT_002.md) - [Current research status](research/STATUS.md) +- [CORA-C2 development result](research/EXPERIMENT_008_RESULT.md) +- [Experiment 009 frozen protocol](research/EXPERIMENT_009_RHT_CQER_PROTOCOL.md) +- [Experiment 009 Stage-A result](research/EXPERIMENT_009_STAGE_A_RESULT.md) +- [Experiment 009 Stage-B identity freeze](research/EXPERIMENT_009_STAGE_B_IDENTITY.md) +- [Experiment 009 Stage-B result](research/EXPERIMENT_009_STAGE_B_RESULT.md) +- [Experiment 009 verification receipt](research/EXPERIMENT_009_STAGE_B_VERIFICATION_RECEIPT.md) +- [Experiment 009 release manifest](evidence/experiment009-rht-cqer-stage-b-result-manifest.json) - [Claim boundary](research/CLAIM_BOUNDARY.md) and [prior-art review](research/PRIOR_ART.md) - [Failed proxy signals and empirical-sensitivity pivot](research/EXPERIMENT_001_SIGNAL_PIVOT.md) diff --git a/assets/experiment009-stage-b-overview.svg b/assets/experiment009-stage-b-overview.svg new file mode 100644 index 0000000..1711c2a --- /dev/null +++ b/assets/experiment009-stage-b-overview.svg @@ -0,0 +1,96 @@ + + diff --git a/assets/experiment009-stage-b-paired.svg b/assets/experiment009-stage-b-paired.svg new file mode 100644 index 0000000..c5dc875 --- /dev/null +++ b/assets/experiment009-stage-b-paired.svg @@ -0,0 +1,192 @@ + + diff --git a/evidence/experiment005-adaptive-same-calibration-8task-556e527.json b/evidence/experiment005-adaptive-same-calibration-8task-556e527.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..c106a5e --- /dev/null +++ b/evidence/experiment005-adaptive-same-calibration-8task-556e527.json @@ -0,0 +1,2915 @@ +{ + "artifact_kind": "recurquant_adaptive_row_packing_same_calibration_quality_diagnostic", + "canonical_evidence_sha256": "f07a6b852a4c427c0b9946ad44c21d023299d173eb24695462e99e3785061d61", + "evidence": { + "adaptive_policy_contracts": { + 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It is not confirmation, novelty, speed, state-of-the-art, deployment, or breakthrough evidence." +} diff --git a/research/CLAIM_BOUNDARY.md b/research/CLAIM_BOUNDARY.md index 0a2613d..285ee5f 100644 --- a/research/CLAIM_BOUNDARY.md +++ b/research/CLAIM_BOUNDARY.md @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ # Claim boundary -Last reviewed: 2026-07-22 +Last reviewed: 2026-07-26 ## What is already established @@ -13,7 +13,13 @@ Last reviewed: 2026-07-22 fewer persistent-state writes exist in current recurrent-model systems work. - Update residuals have been used as importance signals for bounded auxiliary memory in Gated DeltaNet. +- Query magnitude combined with quantization difficulty has already been used + for mixed-precision KV-cache channel selection in + [MixKVQ](https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.19206). - Mixed precision and memory-budget allocation are broad existing ideas. +- Randomized Hadamard transforms and learned rotations are established + quantization outlier-suppression techniques. RecurQuant cannot claim to have + invented rotation-based or Hadamard-based quantization. ## Scoped v0.2 confirmation finding @@ -32,6 +38,80 @@ generated-code correctness, lower latency, lower whole-model or peak memory, or cross-model generality. Mean decay, write gate, state-update magnitude, and residual magnitude remain rejected diagnostic selectors from the earlier pilot. +## Current v0.3 research boundary + +Experiment 005 permanently failed its frozen numerical prerequisite before +holdout (`13/16 = 0.8125` sign agreement versus a required `0.95`). Its later +same-calibration adaptive-MSE postmortem was promising but achieved only a +7.93% descriptive excess-NLL reduction against the strongest static empirical +selector, with a paired 95% interval crossing zero. The ranked `[8, 16)` +holdout remained unopened. + +Experiment 006 implemented deterministic rank fusion of offline +target-directional sensitivity and causal per-write reconstruction benefit at +the same exact byte budget. Its authenticated same-calibration GPU diagnostic +rejected the frozen equal-rank primary: macro excess NLL was `0.514873` versus +`0.493302` for plain adaptive MSE, and the paired interval crossed zero. Its +3.90% point improvement over the strongest static method was below the frozen +20% requirement, again with an interval crossing zero. Better predeclared +ablations remain exploratory and cannot be relabelled as the primary. The +candidate stopped before its numerical prerequisite and the ranked `[8, 16)` +holdout remained unopened. Experiment 006 supports no improvement, +generalization, novelty, deployment, or breakthrough claim. + +Experiment 007 implemented CQER-32, a causal normalized-query-energy EMA times +exact INT4-to-INT8 reconstruction benefit for physically packed Gated DeltaNet +recurrent-state rows. Its authenticated same-calibration diagnostic improved +macro excess NLL by 6.18% over plain adaptive MSE and 13.62% over static +target-Fisher, but both paired intervals crossed zero. It failed the frozen +20% static-reduction requirement and the top-1 non-inferiority margin. The +packed state used exactly `2,564,096` bytes, while persistent selector EMA +state increased the resident total to `2,711,552` bytes. The FP64 prerequisite +was not reached and ranked `[8, 16)` remained unopened. Experiment 007 supports +no generalization, novelty, latency, deployment, state-of-the-art, or +breakthrough claim. + +Experiment 008 tested CORA-C2 on a separate frozen `[16, 32)` development +window. CORA-C2 lowered macro excess NLL by 26.17% relative to static +target-Fisher and 21.62% relative to adaptive MSE, but it was 10.54% worse than +CQER-32. Raw CORA was 3.35% worse than CQER-32. Confirmation-2 reduced +normalized committed-mask churn by 79.99%, but worsened raw-CORA NLL by 6.96%, +above the frozen 1% limit. Five advancement checks failed, the independent +verifier was not reached, and ranked `[8, 16)` remained unopened. Experiment +008 therefore supports neither improvement over CQER-32 nor a general benefit +from its observability or two-hit mechanisms. + +Observability-weighted quantization error is not a new principle. Classical +finite-wordlength state-space analysis expresses output noise using the +quantization-noise covariance and observability Gramian. CORA's diagonal +observability score times measured row distortion belongs to that same broad +mathematical family. Its Gated DeltaNet adaptation may still be a useful +engineering hypothesis, but the failed development result does not establish +it as a contribution. + +Experiment 009 freezes RHT-CQER-32, a deterministic right-side randomized +Hadamard codec composed with CQER-32. Its one-task Stage-A screen passed every +frozen gate, reducing state SSE by `59.97%` and aligned excess NLL by `58.59%` +at equal packed-state and selector bytes. + +Its separately authenticated 32-task Stage-B development run passed all eight +frozen advancement checks. Relative to CQER-32, task-macro aligned excess NLL +fell from `0.323944` to `0.153129` (`52.73%`), the paired 95% interval for +CQER-minus-RHT improvement was `[0.116082, 0.229438]`, and RHT-CQER-32 won 27 +of 32 strict task comparisons. Aggregate local recurrent-state reconstruction +SSE fell from `36,409.363073` to `15,345.844948` (`57.85%`). Macro mean KL and +CVaR95 KL were lower and top-1 agreement was higher. Both candidates retained +the exact `2,564,096` packed-state bytes and `2,711,552` selector-aware +resident bytes. + +That is a positive development result for one method, model revision, dataset +construction, and ranked MBPP window. It is not held-out confirmation for +RHT-CQER-32, cross-model evidence, generated-code correctness, or an +end-to-end systems result. The codec regenerates SHA-256-derived signs and +materializes FP32 transform workspaces in the current Python path. The result +does not establish novelty or speed because randomized Hadamard and rotation +quantizers are prior art and the implementation has no fused-kernel benchmark. + ## Claims prohibited without new evidence - "First recurrent-state quantization method." @@ -42,7 +122,7 @@ residual magnitude remain rejected diagnostic selectors from the earlier pilot. recurrent-state payloads and scales only. - "Speeds up inference" without passing the separate latency gate under the stated benchmark. -- "Breakthrough," "state of the art," or "novel" based on the v0.2 evidence. +- "Breakthrough," "state of the art," or "novel" based on the current evidence. - Authorship of Qwen3.5 or any other base model. ## What this project contributes diff --git a/research/EXPERIMENT_003_HRR_DIAGNOSTIC.md b/research/EXPERIMENT_003_HRR_DIAGNOSTIC.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..783fc84 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/EXPERIMENT_003_HRR_DIAGNOSTIC.md @@ -0,0 +1,177 @@ +# Experiment 003: HRR same-calibration diagnostic + +Status: H32 horizon hypothesis rejected at the diagnostic stage; pivot opened + +Date: 2026-07-22 + +## Decision + +I tested whether looking farther ahead improved the row allocator before +freezing a development protocol. It did not. At the same physical byte budget, +`hrr_h32` produced higher macro excess NLL than the immediate-read `hrr_h1` +selector: + +```text +hrr_h1 macro excess NLL = 0.6218181103467941 +hrr_h32 macro excess NLL = 0.7428321987390518 +H1 - H32 = -0.12101408839225769 +paired 95% interval = [-0.21324796304106708, -0.04036934301257135] +``` + +The interval excludes zero in H1's favor, and H1 had lower excess NLL on seven +of the eight tasks. H32 also had worse macro mean KL, CVaR95 KL, and top-1 +agreement. I therefore reject the H32 horizon hypothesis at this diagnostic +stage. I will not carry H32 forward as the primary candidate or tune the +horizon on these same examples. + +## Scope and evidence boundary + +This was a same-data implementation diagnostic, not a held-out evaluation. +Both row selection and quality evaluation used the same eight MBPP `train` +calibration examples in this order: + +```text +945, 794, 657, 702, 651, 720, 903, 918 +``` + +The quality run scored 650 teacher-forced code tokens. The selector trace had +642 pre-update decode positions because each sequence of `n` code tokens +provides `n - 1` recurrent transitions. The model and data were: + +- model: `Qwen/Qwen3.5-0.8B-Base` +- model revision: `dc7cdfe2ee4154fa7e30f5b51ca41bfa40174e68` +- MBPP revision: `4bb6404fdc6cacfda99d4ac4205087b89d32030c` +- MBPP manifest SHA256: + `97d691a6d45ee29668f5b0151c1a0885629539ac9e7967e9baa30cfb5c97ae8b` +- selector seed: `2339` +- random-row baseline seed: `1101` +- paired bootstrap: 10,000 task-level resamples, seed `2339` + +This scope can reveal a selector or cache integration failure. It cannot show +held-out generalization, cross-domain robustness, speed, or end-to-end memory +improvement. + +## Reproducibility anchors + +The artifacts were generated from a dirty experimental worktree rooted at Git +commit `23f07cfe5f0dfd2406bbc4f85f885280e467b533`; that commit alone does not +reconstruct the uncommitted experimental implementation. + +| Record | SHA256 | +| --- | --- | +| Selector canonical evidence | `b3a2ee24d2a2dc8bbf9d2b81e9909b7d8844fe0e611cdc0dc51570b5db562b43` | +| Selector artifact file | `a0627fde2681c8085ff3667d3b7c21d7a7a882a01f62491704492f39303e30fb` | +| Quality canonical evidence | `8bac3d436597d0e6dee563c037c56fd4369597f11745dff67de98b5ebeffb9d2` | +| Quality artifact file | `fdd05416a696554c2c6450df6c7ee4f1090fed05cb3910df4ff66ad4e400b903` | + +The ignored local files are `artifacts/hrr-diagnostic-8task.json` and +`artifacts/hrr-quality-diagnostic-8task.json`. + +These hashes authenticate the two local files, not the unavailable dirty +source state that produced them. The numerical results in this document are +therefore locally verified but not release-reproducible from a clean public +commit. Before publication as reproducible evidence, rerun the diagnostic from +the clean committed implementation and publish the resulting artifacts. Until +then, the numbers remain historical exploratory observations only. + +## Physical format and selectors + +The row-format selectors used the same exact resident-state budget: + +| Component | Bytes | +| --- | ---: | +| INT4/INT8 payload | 2,485,760 | +| 36,864 FP16 row scales | 73,728 | +| One precision bit for each row | 4,608 | +| **Total** | **2,564,096** | + +Each row-format policy promoted exactly 1,976 of 36,864 rows from INT4 to +INT8. Each promotion added 64 payload bytes. The physical cache reported the +same `2,564,096` resident bytes for `hrr_h1`, `hrr_h32`, `row_mse`, and +`random_rows_s1101`. It also reported `2,564,096` bytes for the mask-free v0.2 +static layout and `2,433,024` bytes for uniform INT4. The FP32 recurrent-state +reference occupied `18,874,368` bytes. + +The evaluated selectors were: + +- `hrr_h1`: actual INT4-to-INT8 marginal read-risk reduction at the immediate + read, measured on frozen full-precision traces; +- `hrr_h32`: the same marginal score propagated across up to 32 future reads; +- `row_mse`: marginal row reconstruction-MSE reduction from INT4 to INT8; +- `random_rows_s1101`: equal-count random row promotions with fixed seed 1101; +- `v02_layer0_static`: layer 0 at INT8 and the other recurrent layers at INT4; +- `uniform_int4`: all recurrent-state rows at INT4. + +H1 and H32 selected substantially similar policies: 1,872 promoted rows +overlapped, with Jaccard similarity `0.9`. The remaining 104 promotions in +each policy were enough to produce a measurable quality difference in this +small diagnostic. + +## Numeric results + +All values are task-macro aggregates over the same eight examples and 650 +teacher-forced tokens. Lower excess NLL, mean KL, and CVaR95 KL are better; +higher top-1 agreement is better. + +| Method | Excess NLL | Mean KL | CVaR95 KL | Top-1 agreement | +| --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | +| `hrr_h1` | 0.6218181103467941 | 0.635199373587966 | 3.388882279396057 | 0.7301077470183372 | +| `hrr_h32` | 0.7428321987390518 | 0.7663818132132292 | 4.135775178670883 | 0.7108453139662743 | +| `row_mse` | 0.7827504575252533 | 0.8211609497666359 | 3.675527900457382 | 0.6954880431294441 | +| `v02_layer0_static` | 0.8490711152553558 | 0.9121971130371094 | 4.451788902282715 | 0.6625703647732735 | +| `uniform_int4` | 2.6367427557706833 | 2.796179473400116 | 7.581509709358215 | 0.3663086034357548 | +| `random_rows_s1101` | 2.683250844478607 | 2.791328117251396 | 7.672792077064514 | 0.36465270072221756 | + +The paired contrasts below are `baseline excess NLL - hrr_h32 excess NLL`. +Positive values favor H32; negative values favor the named baseline. + +| Baseline | Mean paired contrast | Paired 95% interval | +| --- | ---: | ---: | +| `hrr_h1` | -0.12101408839225769 | [-0.21324796304106708, -0.04036934301257135] | +| `row_mse` | 0.03991825878620148 | [-0.05020202696323395, 0.12860547192394733] | +| `v02_layer0_static` | 0.10623891651630402 | [0.031215629354119343, 0.20246222615242004] | +| `uniform_int4` | 1.8939105570316315 | [1.5334751740098, 2.2339482568204403] | +| `random_rows_s1101` | 1.9404186457395554 | [1.6602401442825794, 2.197948945313692] | + +H32 beat the coarse static, uniform, and single random baselines in this +same-data run. That does not rescue the horizon hypothesis: H1 was the stronger +equal-format selector, and row MSE was statistically unresolved against H32. + +## Working diagnosis, not a finding + +HRR scores one quantization error injected into a captured full-precision state +and propagates it through frozen full-precision `q`, `k`, `g`, and `beta` +values. The physical cache behaves differently: it quantizes after prefill and +after every recurrent update, so later states and activations come from an +already perturbed, repeatedly requantized trajectory. + +One possible explanation is that a 32-read score accumulates effects that do +not survive, or are replaced by new error, under repeated requantization. H1 +may align better because it asks only about the next read. This is a post-hoc +hypothesis, not a demonstrated cause. The current artifacts do not isolate +horizon length from repeated requantization, and the high H1/H32 policy overlap +makes causal interpretation especially weak. + +To test this explanation, a future diagnostic would need controlled one-shot +versus repeated-quantization ablations and direct row interventions. I will not +describe the mismatch as the reason for failure until those tests exist. + +## Pivot: empirical downstream loss sensitivity + +The next selector will target measured downstream loss rather than extending a +hand-crafted read proxy farther through a frozen trajectory. The planned path +is: + +1. Build a small single-row promotion oracle on the physical, repeatedly + quantized cache and measure the actual change in downstream excess NLL. +2. Test a directional loss or empirical-Fisher score with respect to the + recurrent state, using the real `Q8(S) - Q4(S)` promotion direction rather + than weight magnitude or a generic parameter Hessian. +3. Compare that scalable score with the intervention oracle, H1, row MSE, + static v0.2, and prespecified random seeds at the same counted byte budget. +4. Freeze a new development protocol only if the score is stable across + calibration subsets and improves on the strongest baseline without tuning + on its evaluation examples. + +This is a new hypothesis. The present diagnostic rejects H32; it does not show +that a loss/Fisher selector will succeed. diff --git a/research/EXPERIMENT_003_HRR_PROTOCOL_DRAFT.md b/research/EXPERIMENT_003_HRR_PROTOCOL_DRAFT.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..6604457 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/EXPERIMENT_003_HRR_PROTOCOL_DRAFT.md @@ -0,0 +1,271 @@ +# Experiment 003 — quantizer-aware horizon row allocation + +Status: historical protocol draft; superseded by +[`EXPERIMENT_003_HRR_DIAGNOSTIC.md`](EXPERIMENT_003_HRR_DIAGNOSTIC.md) + +The same-data diagnostic rejected H32. This file preserves the plan that was +tested; its H32 primary, forward stages, gates, and claim ladder are not active +and are not evidence of an improvement. + +Date opened: 2026-07-22 + +## Question + +At one exact resident recurrent-state byte budget, can a static row-level +INT4/INT8 policy selected from full-precision calibration traces preserve +Qwen3.5 Gated DeltaNet predictions better than the strongest equal-byte +baselines? + +The candidate is **horizon read risk (HRR)**. It propagates the measured error +from quantizing one recurrent-state row through the frozen Gated DeltaNet +trajectory and scores its effect on future reads. This is a local sensitivity +method, not a claim that the complete quantized model remains on the same +trajectory. + +## Why this is a separate experiment + +The earlier hand-built gate, forgetting, update-norm, and residual-magnitude +proxies were weak and prompt-dependent. Their best observed absolute Spearman +correlation was about 0.41 and the sign changed across prompts. Experiment 003 +does not reinterpret that negative result. It replaces the proxy with an +empirical, quantizer-aware sensitivity calculation and requires new baselines +and new evidence. + +The v0.2 policy remains frozen. Experiment 003 cannot rewrite its calibration, +development, or confirmation artifacts. + +## Local score + +Holding the full-precision teacher trajectory fixed, the recurrent-state error +obeys + +```text +E_(t+1) = A_t E_t +A_t = exp(g_t) (I - beta_t k_t k_t^T) +``` + +For a read at future position `tau`, define + +```text +r_(tau,t) = q_tau^T A_tau ... A_t +``` + +The isolated squared contribution of source row `b` is + +```text +r_(tau,t,b)^2 ||E_t[b, :]||_2^2 +``` + +HRR averages this contribution over the next `H` available reads and then +task-macro averages the result. The implementation applies the transition to a +backward query vector, so it does not allocate one full error matrix per source +row. + +The allocator must rank the **marginal value of promotion**, not raw INT4 risk: + +```text +DeltaHRR_b = HRR_b(E_INT4) - HRR_b(E_INT8) +``` + +Negative values remain negative. They must not be clamped merely to make the +selector look stable. + +## Trace contract + +- Run the model in evaluation and inference mode with an ordinary FP32 + recurrent state and otherwise pinned BF16 model arithmetic. +- Prefill normally. During single-token teacher-forced decode, capture the + state immediately before the token update and the `q`, `k`, `g`, and `beta` + values consumed by that update. +- Normalize `q` and `k` exactly once and apply the kernel's `1/sqrt(key_dim)` + query scale exactly once. +- Quantize the captured state independently to INT4 and INT8 using the actual + grouped quantizer. Store only per-row error energies in the calibration + trace, not the full error matrices. +- Drain traces at the task boundary. No task trace may leak into another task. +- A packed evaluation must quantize and store the recurrent state after prefill + and after every recurrent update. Quantizing a completed FP32 trace once is + not an implementation test. + +## Physical format and budget + +For the batch-one Qwen3.5 layout under test: + +- 18 Gated DeltaNet layers; +- 16 heads per layer; +- 128 state rows per head; +- 128 values per row; +- 36,864 independently selectable rows in total; +- symmetric signed INT4 or INT8 payload; +- one FP16 scale per row; +- one packed precision bit per row. + +At this layout: + +| Component | Bytes | +| --- | ---: | +| All-INT4 payload | 2,359,296 | +| FP16 row scales | 73,728 | +| Precision mask | 4,608 | +| 1,976 INT4-to-INT8 promotions | 126,464 | +| **Total** | **2,564,096** | + +The static v0.2 layer policy reaches the same total with 2,048 promoted rows +and no row mask. HRR therefore receives 72 fewer INT8 rows at equal bytes. This +metadata disadvantage is part of the comparison, not something to hide. + +`2,564,096 bytes` means the sum of live recurrent-state payload, scale, and +precision-metadata tensors. It does not mean total cache, model, allocator-peak, +or whole-process memory. Any index, alignment, prefix table, or kernel metadata +introduced later must be counted. + +## Candidate and equal-byte comparators + +1. `v02_layer0_static`: model layer 0 at INT8 and the other recurrent layers at + INT4. It uses 2,048 promotions and no row mask. +2. `random_rows`: 1,976 row promotions for at least 20 prespecified seeds. +3. `row_mse`: rank the measured reduction in row reconstruction error from + INT4 to INT8. +4. `activation_weighted_row_mse`: weight the same marginal reconstruction + error by a prespecified activation statistic. Do not call this AWQ. +5. `directional_fisher`: a calibration-only directional loss score using the + actual INT4-to-INT8 error difference. +6. `hrr_h1`: immediate-read risk with the same physical row format. +7. `hrr_h32`: the primary finite-horizon candidate in this historical plan; + the subsequent diagnostic rejected it. +8. `one_row_oracle`: optional expensive single-row perturbations on a small + calibration subset only. It is a diagnostic ceiling, never a deployable + baseline. + +Every row-format method promotes exactly 1,976 rows and stores the identical +4,608-byte mask. Static v0.2 is allowed its real metadata-free layout but may +not exceed the shared total byte target. + +## Models and domains + +The intended confirmation matrix is: + +| Model | Code | Natural text | +| --- | --- | --- | +| `Qwen/Qwen3.5-0.8B-Base` | one fixed public split | one fixed public split | +| `Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B-Base` | the same protocol | the same protocol | + +The official configurations currently expose the same 24-layer hybrid layout +with 18 recurrent layers and `16 x 128 x 128` recurrent states. Testing both +sizes is scale validation, not validation on another recurrent architecture. + +MBPP training examples may be used for calibration and its validation examples +for development. The v0.2 MBPP confirmation split has already been inspected, +so it cannot serve as untouched v0.3 confirmation. Exact code and natural-text +confirmation datasets, revisions, example IDs, serialization, token windows, +and content hashes must be written here before their outputs are run. + +## Metrics + +Primary: + +- task/document-macro excess NLL against the FP32 recurrent-state reference. + +Secondary: + +- mean and worst-10% token KL; +- top-1 token flip rate; +- worst-10% task/document excess-NLL CVaR; +- packed/QDQ numerical parity; +- payload, scale, mask, padding, transient, allocated, and reserved bytes; +- decode tokens/s and p50/p95 single-token latency; +- policy overlap and rank stability across calibration subsets. + +The task or document window is the statistical unit. Use 10,000 paired +bootstrap resamples with seed 2339. Tokens from one sequence are not independent +samples. + +## Historical sequence of work + +The sequence below records the pre-diagnostic plan. Experiment 003 stopped at +the diagnostic pilot after H32 failed; the later stages were not opened. + +### A. Engineering validity + +1. Prove the analytic scorer against explicit isolated-row propagation. +2. Prove the row-energy form matches the full-error form. +3. Prove mixed packing matches explicit per-row QDQ. +4. Prove the exact byte decomposition above. +5. Prove lossless packed beam reorder and cache integration on tiny Qwen + configurations. + +### B. Diagnostic pilot + +Run a small, explicitly non-confirmatory 0.8B trace to catch normalization, +state-timing, policy-mask, and performance defects. Pilot outputs may change the +implementation but cannot be described as generalization evidence. + +### C. Freeze + +Before development, record model revisions, dataset revisions and IDs, token +manifests, the complete method matrix, horizon, averaging, seeds, byte +accounting, numerical tolerances, evaluator commit, and environment. + +### D. Development gate + +The plan would have run every method on the complete frozen development +partitions and proceeded only if the primary candidate: + +- uses exactly 2,564,096 resident recurrent-state bytes; +- agrees with explicit QDQ to absolute tolerance `1e-6`; +- reduces macro excess NLL by at least 20% versus every equal-byte comparator; +- has a paired 95% bootstrap interval above zero against the strongest + comparator; +- does not regress worst-10% excess-NLL CVaR or top-1 flips beyond frozen + margins; and +- has a positive effect in every model-by-domain development cell. + +Any failed gate is a publishable negative result. Changing the selector, +horizon, dataset, or threshold creates a new experiment version. + +### E. Untouched confirmation + +Run the frozen matrix once on the untouched confirmation partitions. No partial +preview, row sweep, prompt change, or favorable-subset filtering is allowed. + +## Claim ladder + +No claim rung in this historical plan was earned. + +Before development passes: + +> RecurQuant is testing an exact-byte row-level INT4/INT8 Gated DeltaNet cache +> and a quantizer-aware finite-horizon allocator. + +After all frozen confirmation gates pass: + +> On the two named Qwen3.5 checkpoints and two named domains, HRR reduced excess +> NLL by X% over the strongest equal-byte baseline at 2,564,096 resident +> recurrent-state bytes. + +Passing this local protocol would support a narrow research contribution, not +the word “breakthrough.” That stronger description additionally requires a +fused packed kernel, measured memory and speed improvements on at least two GPU +classes, longer-context downstream tasks, another Gated DeltaNet-family model, +and preferably independent replication. + +## Closest-work boundary + +The broad ingredients are not new: + +- [WriteSAE](https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.12770) analyzes how Gated DeltaNet state + interventions propagate to future reads and logits. +- [Q-Mamba](https://aclanthology.org/2025.findings-acl.551/) quantizes recurrent + Mamba state caches to low precision. +- [TQS-PTQ](https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.13300) uses finite-horizon trajectory + sensitivity for quantization. +- [RateQuant](https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.06675) performs quantizer-aware + exact-budget mixed-precision cache allocation. +- [MixKVQ](https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.19206) combines quantization difficulty + with future-query relevance for mixed-precision KV caches. + +The research question is whether their still-uncovered intersection—actual +INT4-to-INT8 marginal error, analytic Gated DeltaNet transitions, exact-byte +row allocation, and physical recurrent-cache packing—produces a repeatable +benefit. A literature search cannot establish a “first” claim, so the project +will not make one. diff --git a/research/EXPERIMENT_004_LOSS_SENSITIVITY_PROTOCOL_DRAFT.md b/research/EXPERIMENT_004_LOSS_SENSITIVITY_PROTOCOL_DRAFT.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..1991987 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/EXPERIMENT_004_LOSS_SENSITIVITY_PROTOCOL_DRAFT.md @@ -0,0 +1,443 @@ +# Experiment 004: loss-sensitive row allocation + +> **Status: working protocol draft - not frozen.** +> +> This document defines the next falsifiable RecurQuant experiment. It reports +> no positive result and supports no novelty, improvement, or breakthrough +> claim. Formulas, data manifests, thresholds, and implementation commits must +> be frozen before their corresponding evaluation stage begins. + +Date opened: 2026-07-22 + +## Research question + +At one exact resident recurrent-state byte budget, can a static row-level +INT4/INT8 policy selected by downstream loss sensitivity preserve the outputs +of Qwen3.5 Gated DeltaNet layers better than H1 read risk, row reconstruction +MSE, the v0.2 static policy, and prespecified random policies? + +The primary candidate measures the signed first-order loss change along the +actual INT4-to-INT8 promotion direction on a cache that has already followed a +repeated-INT4-QDQ trajectory. A model-Fisher risk difference is the label-free +secondary candidate. Both are ranking approximations. Neither is treated as a +result until it predicts physical row interventions and then passes untouched +confirmation. + +## Why the experiment changed + +Experiment 003 rejected the longer-horizon HRR candidate in its same-data +diagnostic. H32 was worse than H1 even though the two policies overlapped +strongly. One untested hypothesis is a structural mismatch: HRR propagated one +error through a frozen full-precision trajectory, while the real cache stores +a newly quantized recurrent state after prefill and after every update. The +existing artifacts do not isolate this cause. + +I will not retrofit that failure into evidence for the new method. Experiment +004 starts a new hypothesis and tests it against direct physical +interventions. If loss sensitivity does not predict those interventions, the +experiment stops before a large confirmation run. + +## Existing exploratory artifacts + +The local `loss-sensitivity-diagnostic-8task.json` selector artifact and +`loss-sensitivity-quality-diagnostic-8task.json` quality artifact were created +before the full Stage A gate below was completed. They are exploratory +engineering diagnostics at rung 0 only: they may expose implementation failures, +but they do not satisfy Stage A, freeze a ranked policy, open Stage B or held-out +evaluation, or support a positive result. Any protocol-gated ranking must be +regenerated only after Stage A passes from a clean committed implementation. + +## Runtime and notation contract + +For recurrent layer `l`, head `h`, physical state row `r`, and storage boundary +`t`, let `u^4_(t,r)` be the row immediately before storage on the trajectory +generated with every recurrent-state row stored as INT4 after every update. +The superscript records the trajectory, not the precision of this transient +pre-storage value. + +Let `Q4` and `Q8` be the exact RecurQuant QDQ maps used by the packed +evaluator, including grouping, rounding, clipping, stored FP16 scale +conversion, padding, and dequantization. +Define + +```text +s^4_(t,r) = Q4(u^4_(t,r)) +delta_(t,r) = Q8(u^4_(t,r)) - Q4(u^4_(t,r)) +e4_(t,r) = Q4(u^4_(t,r)) - u^4_(t,r) +e8_(t,r) = Q8(u^4_(t,r)) - u^4_(t,r) +``` + +`delta` is the actual local promotion direction. It must not be replaced by a +weight norm, activation magnitude, gate mean, or an error measured on a +full-precision cache. Calibration uses the same recurrent-state timing and +quantizer implementation as packed evaluation. The cache is quantized after +prefill and after every recurrent update. + +The deployed policy is static: one precision bit per physical row, reused at +every storage boundary. It is not allowed to inspect confirmation targets or +choose precision per prompt. + +## Primary candidate: signed Taylor promotion gain + +For a teacher-forced calibration sequence, let `L_next` be the target negative +log-likelihood for the next token after a storage boundary. Evaluate its +gradient at the real repeated-INT4 trajectory: + +```text +g_(t,r) = d L_next / d s^4_(t,r) +``` + +The first-order predicted loss reduction from promoting row `r` is + +```text +T_r = E_task [ (1 / |T_task|) sum_t -